Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 871.408750 988.852781 1120.921525 1281.347347 1472.167432 1693.400379 1971.517435
2025-03-16 696.163285 847.099923 1032.988671 1282.323274 1613.551446 2046.615731 2669.693443
2025-03-23 612.758852 777.526464 992.035950 1298.365735 1735.895589 2356.903349 3341.206861
2025-03-30 533.892565 699.028624 923.244400 1259.360251 1767.904316 2539.930427 3868.562029
2025-04-06 474.535738 637.268281 865.931308 1222.833303 1789.908200 2702.730169 4394.342379
2025-04-13 425.165965 583.088367 811.438766 1180.261644 1791.562750 2827.775086 4881.548921
2025-04-20 404.034151 566.866813 809.795653 1217.333820 1925.771733 3200.390797 5936.685993
2025-04-27 380.010305 543.494784 793.960478 1228.105325 2015.007864 3508.535526 6960.592307
2025-05-04 361.892977 527.161688 786.910238 1251.717879 2129.806069 3888.986436 8280.623868
2025-05-11 344.696813 510.516550 777.264645 1268.830596 2234.197080 4270.881576 9756.624531
2025-05-18 334.926741 504.766561 784.778574 1317.261034 2407.998113 4845.136025 12007.060719
2025-05-25 320.650266 490.282580 775.742500 1333.172504 2516.998698 5298.364125 14141.929272
2025-06-01 303.667190 470.793685 757.649172 1332.469711 2597.582405 5724.240225 16515.183899
2025-06-08 285.792804 448.557149 732.885759 1316.044992 2641.954987 6076.642674 18900.642606
2025-06-15 274.830270 437.336474 726.904321 1336.748402 2776.413461 6718.155906 22916.514880
2025-06-22 256.958640 412.563771 693.438176 1295.347342 2752.197051 6893.281808 25090.075071
2025-06-29 241.189164 390.504878 663.326122 1257.701443 2731.128555 7074.619244 27480.199724
2025-07-06 226.016693 368.581475 631.810390 1213.539850 2686.060933 7169.076457 29547.850460
2025-07-13 221.331215 365.561614 636.864038 1251.964498 2868.962061 8093.041680 37371.419305
2025-07-20 214.022732 357.136500 630.425424 1263.125255 2979.354570 8809.970238 45007.459342
2025-07-27 208.537195 351.767144 629.675429 1287.600927 3133.793223 9763.885938 56073.665938
2025-08-03 202.737765 345.401802 626.318148 1305.341405 3272.641998 10725.620894 69354.823848
2025-08-10 200.151982 345.076133 635.536387 1355.561664 3525.295787 12317.186488 93304.119157